Nintendo’s Plan for 2026 (according to NateTheHate2)

[zorg1000]

Chrkeller said:

zorg1000 said:

My problem with this line of thinking is it seems like you’re assuming he has a Zelda specific source separate from his non-Zelda sources.

For all we know, he might just have one single source or has a whole bunch but it doesn’t make sense to say he’s 0/2 on Zelda leaks while being 17/20 (made up number) on non-Zelda leaks.  

I think it makes more sense to look at his overall record rather than breaking it up into categories.

I could also be wrong about this but weren’t WW & TP ports part of the same leak? If so, I would consider that a single miss, not two separate ones.

Fair point.  I kind of assume different sources for direct leaks versus game launches.  It doesn't make sense for it to be the same leaker, unless the leaker is senior.  But could be.

No issues considering it one miss.  May not have been nate but 3D mario was definitely happening and now it is definitely not happening...  

Probably too much scientist in me, but claims without evidence is an opinion.  If he doesn't provide evidence, I dont see the point in assuming he is right.  Evidence can be simple, like Fox being a massive character in their big movie.  Evidence and hearsay are not the same for me.

Edit (according to Copilot - for what' is worth, if anything)

Nate the Hate’s Prediction Record and Accuracy

Nate the Hate is a video game prediction and rumor mill host, often co-hosting with Modern Vintage Gamer (MVG) on YouTube and podcast platforms. His content focuses on Nintendo, Xbox, PlayStation, and other major game releases, with a mix of confirmed announcements, speculative predictions, and “rumor” pieces.

Prediction record overview

• Nate the Hate has produced over 170 YouTube videos and 150+ podcast episodes in recent years YouTube+2.

• His predictions span hardware launches (e.g., Nintendo Switch 2), major game releases (e.g., Mario Galaxy 2, Resident Evil, Final Fantasy VII Rebirth), and third-party announcements.

• He often combines insider leaks, developer interviews, and his own analysis to form predictions.

Accuracy and credibility

• Correct predictions: Some notable correct calls include The Last of Us Part I: Firefly Edition (Sept 2, 2022) and Halo Infinite Multiplayer (Dec 2021, though later than his November 15, 2021 prediction) GameSpot.

• Incorrect predictions: Critics point to several misses, such as:

  • Metroid Prime Trilogy HD (predicted for 2021, never released) GameSpot

  • Final Fantasy IV Remake for Switch 1 (never materialized) GameSpot

  • Starfield on PS5 (incorrectly predicted) GameSpot

  • Metroid Prime 1 Remaster for Switch 1 (predicted 2022, released 2023) GameSpot

  • Halo Infinite Multiplayer on Nov 15, 2021 (released Dec 2021) GameSpot

  • Final Fantasy VII Rebirth in winter 2023 (released Feb 29, 2024) GameSpot

Overall accuracy

• GameFAQs users note Nate has only gotten about 4 major new game releases correct in recent years, with some being off by a year or more GameSpot.

• His track record is mixed: he can hit big announcements, but often overestimates timelines or misjudges platform availability.

• Some predictions are speculative or based on unconfirmed leaks, which can lead to inaccuracies.

Bottom line
Nate the Hate’s prediction record is moderately mixed — he can be right on major game announcements, but his accuracy is inconsistent, and many predictions are speculative. For the most reliable results, cross-check his predictions with official announcements or trusted industry sources.

Yeah I’m not saying it is all just one leaker but we don’t know if his source for WW/TP also leaked other things that turned out to be true. I just don’t think it makes sense to go series by series. For example, let’s say Zelda-0/2, Metroid-1/2, Mario 2/3, DK 1/1, etc. In that particular scenario I would say he has a 50/50 record rather than looking at individual series.

I would say some of those “misses” are nitpicks like Metroid Prime Remastered and some of the other dates. Leaking an unannounced game but being off on the release date by a few weeks/months is a win in my view. Things change and games can have internal delays for a variety of reasons.

But yeah just to be clear, I’m not on team “believe him” or team “don’t believe him”, I think it makes sense and would like it to be true though.

I don’t watch his videos so maybe he does this already but if I were him I would definitely make sure to specify when something is a leak or speculation or an opinion.