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Chrkeller said:
BraLoD said:

The problem is not that Nate can't be wrong, the problem is that based on his track record there is no logical path that leads to thinking he is guessing or making predictions rather than that he does have good sources.

Having good sources doesn't mean he'll be right 100% of the time, games get cancelled, plans change all the time, but the stuff he leaks is definitely not coming from his head.

Let's says TLoU2 online was never announced and it got cancelled after years like it did, it still existed and a leak about it would appear fake even as it was very much real.

Not only that, but plans change and even extremely knowing people might not know why.

Shuhei Yoshida was one of the producers of The Legend of Dragoon, and years later he went as far as to be SIE's president.
More than 10 years after the game released he said there was a second LoD game once in production, but he changed places from Japan to the USA and that he still didn't know why it was cancelled.

Someone as ridiculous big inside Playstation and deeply involved with LoD didn't know what happened to another LoD game to be cancelled. If Shuhei Yoshida was Nate's inside contact and once told him about that game being in production while Sony never even a single time ever mentioned it before and to this day, that would be counted as a big stain on Nate's track record. But it couldn't be more real.

I'm not saying anyone should believe a guy online, even Nate, but again, based on his track record and the extent he has gotten some things right, there is no logical path that leads to anything else than he having inside contacts actually leaking very specific things to him.

You can choose to believe him or not in general or even in a case by case basis, tho.

Ok, I assume the same sources as those who told him WWHD to the S1, which never happened.  The same sources that told him TPHD to the S1, which never happened.  His Zelda sources, based on what I have seen, don't appear solid.  Really, that simple, IMO.  Had he nailed WWHD and TPHD, sure I would be giving him a massive benefit of the doubt.  

Edit

I guess my point is, I don't question his track record overall, but I do question his Zelda specific track record.  His Zelda predictions leave a lot to be desired. 

To be fair, I suppose, a lot of this could be a defense mechanism.  Zelda is my favorite franchise in gaming, by far..  I have been wanting an Ocarina Remake for decades and I do not want to set myself up for disappointment.

My problem with this line of thinking is it seems like you’re assuming he has a Zelda specific source separate from his non-Zelda sources.

For all we know, he might just have one single source or has a whole bunch but it doesn’t make sense to say he’s 0/2 on Zelda leaks while being 17/20 (made up number) on non-Zelda leaks.

I think it makes more sense to look at his overall record rather than breaking it up into categories.

I could also be wrong about this but weren’t WW & TP ports part of the same leak? If so, I would consider that a single miss, not two separate ones.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.