Like the PS5 thread bumping this now seems like good timing since while there is more uncertainty than for the PS5 it's still a lot less than it was a couple months ago. In particular all the details from Nate that were just shared gives a good picture of the rest of the year since it's likely true considering his track record. It seems there won't be a big holiday title so that's a blow and dampens my expectations but Pokopia being a big hit makes up for that some. I would've waited till the next Direct before bumping this one normally but it looks like we could very well be waiting till June for that.
The biggest factor fully up in the air now though is when Nintendo will do a price increase and by how much. There's good reason to believe it's not that soon but it could happen within the next couple months. Due to the seeming lack of a big holiday title my high end expectation has declined some and I expect it to fall into the 15-17m range depending on the price cut part. If there is a price increase soon it'll be tough for Nintendo to sell more than 15m this year I think.







