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| trunkswd said: If Nintendo exactly hits its 4 million forecast for the current fiscal year for the Switch 1 it will be at 156.62 million shipped at the end of March. At that point 3.38 million is what is needed to reach 160 million. The forecast for the next fiscal year will give us a good idea if it has a shot of reaching 160 million. If we see 1 million it is basically over. If we see 2 million than there is still a chance. 50% drop per year would be 2 million for a total of 158.62 million in March 2027, then 1 million would be 159.62 million in March 2028, and then 500,000 would be 160.12 million in March 2029. If the drop is 60% per year we are talking 1.6 million for a total of 158.22 in March 2027, then 0.64 million for a total of 158.86 in March 2028, and then 256,000 for a total of 159.116 in March 2029. |
Insightful
I feel they will exceed 4m target.
The restock of even original Nintendo switch in Japan is encouraging.
You ve made a little mistake though, Nintedo expects it to be at 156.12 155.37+750k.
However, who knows, your wrong number might be proved right eventually...
