By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close
Kyuu 3 days ago
Edit Thread
BraLoD said:
CosmicSex said:

Yes, I totally expect GTA 6 to destroy expectations and records.  Thats kinda the arena I am operating in. 

You are setting yourself for a big dissapointment then.

GTA V managed around a 20% lifetime attach ratio for the PS3 and 360 within one year, now you expect it to be around 50% attach ratio for the PS5 and XBS in one year, with things being as expensive as they are, and with XBS users basically only investing in Gamepass and not new game purchases.

That just won't happen, there is no way half of the people that have ever owned those systems are getting it with 1 year from release.

For example, I'm very likely not to get it so soon myself. And I'm huge spender compared to most people out there.

And I was there day one for GTA V. It was vastly more affordable during that time.

It's going to be huge, but if it doesn't release on PC day one 70M is completely impossible, much less a safe bet.

You're stretching the definition of impossible. The game may be able to hit 70 million with a November 2027 PC release, although I think it's the upper limit. RDR2 sold 17 million in two weeks across PS4 and Xbox One. GTA6 on PC should beat that in November + December. It can easily add 20+ million to console versions' totals by year's end.

Animal Crossing sold 31 million in like 9 months on a single plarform. Current GTA is on a whole other level, so doubling its performance is obviously not out of the question. Anything from 40 to 75 million is on the cards. Reception, price, and PC release date will determine the outcome.

One mistake everyone is once again making is the assumption that GTA5's lifetime sales are "sort of the limit", when for all we know GTA6 may eventually make GTA5's numbers look timid lol, but it can also fall far behind. A lot will ride on gamer (not critical) reception. It's not clear how much of the existing 200 million+ players are willing to get the game in year 1. When GTA5 launched on PS360, it outsold GTA4's totals in the blink of an eye. At that time everyone would have deemed GTA5 selling a 100 million+ lifetime foolish and comical! Though to be fair, we didn't think it would last 2 whole generations without a successor!

Last edited by Kyuu - 3 days ago