Which system will sell more in 2026: Switch 2 or PS5?

[CosmicSex]

Norion said:

CosmicSex said:

Valid points for sure.  And you could point to the GTA 5 release as evidence.  But I insist that you are conflating PS5 saturation with real unbridled demand.  There are still millions of people playing GTA5 on PS4.  Today.  You see, there are people who only play GTA that will not upgrade until GTA 6 comes out.  Likewise there are PC folks and just folks in general who will only be bothered with PlayStation at all for GTA 6 and nothing else. On top of all that there will be a boost from folks upgrading to Pro.  Again I think you make valid points and valuable observations. 

Good to hear you appreciate my points and observations. Is there a source for the bolded? It wouldn't surprise me but exact numbers don't seem to be available.

It would be https://blog.playstation.com/2026/01/14/playstation-stores-top-downloads-of-2025/ and the visual from Sony about having about a 60/40 (not exact) spilt between PS5/PS4 players.  I don't have hard numbers.  But we know there are tens of millions of PS4 players and we know that GTA is in the top 5.  This would imply that there are many, many people who haven't upgraded yet.  Interestingly enough Sony sent out alerts to PS4 users encouraging them to upgrade.  Hopefully we get another breakdown after Q4 to see what the state of play is. Still we need to take this into account when we talk about a GTA 6 boost.