January 2026 VGChartz Estimates Thread - Worldwide Out Now

[Sephiran]

DekutheEvilClown said:

Sephiran said:

The point is that the only way PS5 outsells Switch 2 WW is if it outsells Switch 2 in the US/Europe by many millions of units this year, Switch 2 has already shown last year that it can outsell the PS5 in the US market, so PS5 hopes mostly rest on Europe. The non Japan Asian market is a fairly small console market, with a big majority of console sales WW coming from NA, Europe and Japan.

The PS5 sold over 180k units in Non-Japan Asia in January. The Switch 2 sold 50k. Thats a significantly territory now, and it’s a growing market. The PS5 has another big Chinese game coming out this year—Phantom Blade Zero.

But we are talking about sales WW this year, its unlikely that the non Japan Asian console market will become so much bigger in 1 year that it can help PS5 overtake Switch 2 in WW sales this year, that depends almost fully on sales in NA, Europe and Japan. Switch 2 will already get a large boost in sales in March just from Pokopia, taking its monthly sales in Japan from over 300k to over 500k or even more most likely. Europe is the place PS5 is most dependant on, and i think PS5 will continue to outsell Switch 2 there, the question is more if any of Nintendo's games can close the gap a little to PS5 in Europe, if they are able to do that then the WW sales are a done deal, because PS5 is done in Japan for the most part.