January 2026 VGChartz Estimates Thread - Worldwide Out Now

[Sephiran]

DekutheEvilClown said:

Sephiran said:

One thing to keep in mind is that gen 10 Pokemon could mean that Switch 2 will sell around 5M in Japan this year, compared to around 500k for PS5, to give you a reasonable take about how much more PS5 will need to sell than Switch 2 in the US and Europe to even tie the Switch 2 massive Japanese advantage. And Pokemon gen 10 will obviously boost Switch 2 sales as well in western markets.

There’s also the rest of Asia. PS5 dominated Non-Japan Asia according to these sales estimates.

The point is that the only way PS5 outsells Switch 2 WW is if it outsells Switch 2 in the US/Europe by many millions of units this year, Switch 2 has already shown last year that it can outsell the PS5 in the US market, so PS5 hopes mostly rest on Europe. The non Japan Asian market is a fairly small console market, with a big majority of console sales WW coming from NA, Europe and Japan.