January 2026 Circana (NPD) Thread + Predictions

[trunkswd]

IcaroRibeiro said:

trunkswd said:

PS5 is likely 190K or a little below that with Switch 2 around what you said. Xbox Series did better than I was expecting (70K-75K) even if sales are still bad. Switch 1 is flatlining with sales at like ~30K. Crazy Switch 1 can sell as much or nearly as much in one week in Japan as it did for an entire month in the US. 

I'm still running the numbers with Machina, so our estimates once posted might be a little different than that. There is a little bit of room depending on sales of other devices like the NEX and PC portables as those are counted in Circana's hardware totals. 

Yup if EU follows America's decline, then Japan accounted to ~50% of Switch 1 total worldwide sales which is crazy and probably never happened before to worldwide available systems

The little bit of data we have for Europe is showing a smaller % drop for NS1 there than in the US.