January 2026 Circana (NPD) Thread + Predictions

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IcaroRibeiro said:

So less than 200k for PS5 and ~180k for Switch 2?

I think the best comparison we have regarding the first post-holiday month are 3DS (233k) and NS1 (246k) according to VG Data, SW2 is significantly bellow both

Seems like the market is struggling to support so many high priced consoles

PS5 is likely 190K or a little below that with Switch 2 around what you said. Xbox Series did better than I was expecting (70K-75K) even if sales are still bad. Switch 1 is flatlining with sales at like ~30K. Crazy Switch 1 can sell as much or nearly as much in one week in Japan as it did for an entire month in the US. 

I'm still running the numbers with Machina, so our estimates once posted might be a little different than that. There is a little bit of room depending on sales of other devices like the NEX and PC portables as those are counted in Circana's hardware totals.