Tough to make a call but I'm gonna say PS5 wins this year (for the last time).
PS5 has GTA6 coming out, and I don't think that's gonna move like millions of units or anything as most people who are waiting for the game already have the system, but it'll probably be a big 2-4 weeks of sales for the PS5 when it comes out.
Switch 2 is already and will likely continue struggle in Europe, be okay/good but not great in the US, and dominate Japan. PS5 is gonna be dominant in Europe, good but probably not quite great in the US, and barely move anything in Japan. I'd say PS5 wins by a narrow margin over Switch 2 this year.
If Nintendo manages to actually pull out a list of must have games this year that could push it slightly ahead, but so far the library is very bleak with nothing announced yet. I mean who knows maybe so far the library has been empty because they just got behind on several big hitters that will be hitting this year, but so far this gen Nintendo has shown nothing in terms of their normal competence outside of just having great hype-fueled launch sales and one good DK game. Presumably they'll have 3D Mario finally this year but the question is will there be anything else that convinces people to pony up the money on a system that is so far lacking reasons to buy it.
