Jumpin on 08 February 2026
It should be noted that Switch is ahead of where the PS2 was in 2012, so that graph could be a bit misleading.
Really, it will depend on pricing and how long Nintendo decides to keep Switch on shelves. A single price drop or a new budget model like Switch TV or a Switch with some of the Switch 2 tech (like the new Joy Cons) could end this quickly. But IMO, anything beyond a price drop are distant possibilities at this point. My guess is Nintendo's priority is Switch 2, and getting to 50 million in the next 20 months. So, if Switch passes PS2, it will be at least a year and a half away.
I describe myself as a little dose of toxic masculinity.
