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Should be the Switch 1. It'll have a significantly bigger decline but is declining from such a larger point it should stay ahead. Even with a more modest decline than last year thanks to GTA 6 the Xbox Series would only do about 1.5m or so and a decline similar to the DS in 2012 for the Switch would give it 1.7m. Something to watch is if the two combined reach 3m since them failing to would mean at least one did notably worse than expected.