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There is one more major title that could give a huge hardware boost to Switch 1. One that has been in development for years, but we've heard next to nothing about it.
Dragon Quest XII.
Back when Dragon Quest XI released in July 2017, it provided such a massive boost to the 3DS that it actually sold more than Switch 1 that week. Now granted, Dragon Quest doesn't really have much of an audience in the West. But in Japan? It isn't just any JRPG franchise - It's THE JRPG franchise. Dragon Quest is iconic over there and if history repeats itself where the Switch 1 vesrion comes first and the Definitive Edition on Switch 2 doesn't come until later, then that will move quite a lot of Switch 1 units and inject some life into the system.
Would it inject enough life to where it gets it to 160m? Probably not, but it would definitely boost its chances.