A big thing is the Switch only shipped 1.36m last quarter when the DS shipped just over 2m from October-December 2011 so it is continuing to underperform the DS post successor, this time even more so when it needs to be outperforming it to still have any shot of reaching 160m. The following quarter it shipped only 0.44m so if things keep going the way they're been going the Switch will ship below 0.4m this quarter.
If it suddenly stops underperforming and starts matching the DS going forward that would mean just another 3m shipped for a final total of 158.3m. This is why the odds of it getting to 160m at this point are basically zero with the only speck of hope left being a very surprisingly high forecast for the next fiscal year though I consider the odds of that so remote that it would be a huge shock.
Last edited by Norion - on 03 February 2026
