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Zippy6 said:
Norion said:

The concern is that Metroid games have poor legs and with how reception and word of mouth of this one has gone I really doubt that'll be much different here. The early userbase part doesn't help that much when there's a Switch 1 version unless there's a lot of people holding out till they get a Switch 2 but the Metroid fanbase being relatively hardcore for a Nintendo one means they've probably already largely gotten Switch 2's for it. Some of the ones that haven't will not bother buying it now due to the reception and word of mouth so the final total could be only around 2m in the end which is not ideal for such a long and troubled development cycle.

According to a journalist who has interviewed retro studios in the past, MP4 had a budget of around $100 million.

It looks like it will be difficult for the game to break even.

Considering it was in development for over 8 years and restarted from scratch, not surprising a lot of money was spent getting to the finish line. Unfortunately Metroid hasn't had that big moment a lot of other Nintendo IPs did on Switch where sales exploded.

It really is a shame. Dread had a lot going for it and it still barely beat Prime 1 and Metroid 1 so I thought the 4-5m predictions I was often seeing for Prime 4 were quite optimistic but man I thought it would've outsold Dread at least but then stuff like the early previews came in. 3m really does seem to the ceiling for Metroid and I dunno how they're gonna break through that ceiling since it's very possible the next 2D one sells somewhat less than Dread even if it's great.

G2ThaUNiT said:

How disappointing. Across a combined console base of at least 172 million, you would think that MP4 would have at least reached a million units within its first month. The Metroid franchise is very front-loaded in sales. Took Dread reaching 3 million sales TOTAL to become the best-selling game in the franchise.

This would explain why the game is already getting steep discounts, which is very unlike Nintendo.

Here's to hoping players are holding out on buying the game till they get a Switch 2.

It's basically guaranteed to have sold over 1m. It didn't show up cause it didn't break 1m individually on Switch 1 or 2 and since digital sales on Switch 2 were counted as Switch 1 sales I expect it to be around 1.5m currently.