How much will the Switch 1 sell in 2026?

[Norion]

XtremeBG said:

Norion said:

It had a nearly 60% drop in 2025 despite having a good first three months and the Switch 2 not releasing till June so the decline should be even bigger this year at say 65-70%. I'll go with around 1.7m. It reaching even just 2m would be a surprisingly good result and with sales slowing down so quickly despite there still being a significant gap between sales and shipments means shipments could be very low this year. Also I like that we shared these four threads though it's a little funny I got both of the very relevant consoles and you the dying ones.

Yep, I was going to write the same.

On the topic though, I am 50/50 if the Switch will finish below or above 2M. It can go either way. I am giving it the benefit of the doubt and vote for above 2M, but won't be surprise if it finishes in the 1.5 - 2M range.

I just can't see the decline not being bigger this year considering the things I mentioned and the fact that the 3DS and DS declined more in 2018 and 2012 compared to 2017 and 2011. Nintendo would have to suddenly start pushing the Switch 1 again but they want people to upgrade to the Switch 2 as fast as possible.