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Kyuu said:
Soundwave said:

Switch will be the last dedicated game hardware to sell 150 million+ I think. Sony can't come close to that, and Switch 2 will be in tough to get there.

Chances are fairly high that Switch 2 won't outsell the PS5 and that Nintendo won't be able to match Sony gaming's profits.

The next 10 years are likely going to be far harder for all game hardware period than the last 10-20 years was. 

Middle class and lower income consumers are getting crushed by inflation and their wages are not growing, AI spending boom will likely go on for years forcing RAM, storage, and even general CPU/GPU prices up, even the price of silver is skyrocketing, component prices as a result are likely to go through the roof, graphics technology isn't enough to wow consumers anymore as I think really with PS4 already we reached a point where games already look "good enough". You're seeing a lot of people content with just playing older or existing games. Then you have all this tariff shit on top of that. 

The next leap will probably come via AI rendering in a completely different way from polys/textures/etc. to create photo real worlds, but I bet they are going to try to sell that as a streaming/GPU rental service essentially (as it will require a level of compute beyond what a consumer box can achieve) but in that case I kind of think the traditional walled garden ecosystem/console that Sony and Nintendo rely on will eventually become toast. AI will just take any game with basic graphics and be able to make it look as real or unreal as you want, but even more than that it will allow the user most likely to change whatever they want about a game (looks, possibly even gameplay) to their needs. 

Last edited by Soundwave - on 10 January 2026