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Good last week of 2025 for the Switch 2. Its December in Japan wasn't quite as good as the Switch 1's first December but it got close though how it does in 2026 will be a huge test since there were stock issues for the Switch 2 in Japan but that's at least mostly resolved now I think so this year will show what its normal demand there will be like.

The Switch 1 had a fine last week though considering how it's doing compared to the 3DS it shouldn't be that long now till it consistently starts selling less than 10k a week unless it suddenly starts holding up better than the 3DS so 2025 should be the last year of note for it. The PS5 is the same as it has been lately so not ideal though at least the cheap digital model saved its holiday season from being a complete disaster and will help it throughout 2026 at least somewhat.

The Xbox Series was doing surprisingly well at first but has completely run out of steam now and it's really about time to stop tracking the PS4 with it barely selling 1k last year. Overall the Switch 2 saved this year for Japanese hardware sales and for the next good while will be the only relevant platform in terms of hardware sales by dominating to an absurd degree.

For 2026 my general expectations are about 4m for the Switch 2, 500-600k for the Switch 1 and around 600k for the PS5.

Last edited by Norion - on 08 January 2026