The Road to 160m+ for Nintendo Switch (EDIT: See mod note in first post for new rule).

[CourageTCD]

XtremeBG said:

Norion said:

If the forecast is met it'll be at 156.1m though it could be slightly higher or lower depending on how things go. It could take even longer for them to be sold to consumers yeah but if they really cared enough they could ship enough to get to 161m and then stop and then wait how ever long it takes for the remaining stock to get sold. If they did care enough to do something like that though then I doubt they'd have increased the price of it in certain countries a few months ago so I'd be super surprised if they did decide to take this path.

That is what I am saying, They can't just ship whatever they want, just for the target. The shipments are based on the sales. If sales are low, they can't overship too much. If the Switch has sold for example 200k in three months, they can't ship 3M just to reach a certain number. If Switch reach 157.5M or even 158M in March 2027, the system needs to sell at least 60-70k monthly on average, for them to be able to ship those 2M more. Shipments are based on what the system sells. If the system sells 20k per month, you ship 25k for the month, you don't ship 100k. If Switch is selling too low, their shipments will be lower than needed to reach the milestone, even if they continue till 2030. 

Today I find this kind of topic is way more productive and fun than the "What is PS2's final sales number", btw