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Sephiran said:

The problem for Switch 2 is that PS5 discounts continue all december as well, so why would December not end up the same with total PS5 domination?

Because that is the historical sales pattern. (VGChartz numbers)

Last year the PS5 sold 1.8m units during Black Friday week and 930k the week before Christmas.

In 2023 the PS5 sold 1.47m on Black Friday and 700k the week before Christmas. 

The Switch also often peaked during Black Friday week, but its December sales were always relatively stronger compared to PS sales, for examples 800k BF week vs 600k Christmas week last year and 1.26m vs 950k the year before. 2017 and 2018 the Switch even peaked during Christmas week. Earlier Nintendo consoles often peaked in December.

TLDR: Sony consoles always have very good Black Friday sales and then often only sell 50% of that the week before Christmas, while Nintendo consoles have lower Black Friday sales but a lower drop right before Christmas. At least that's how it's been in... forever, really. I've been following console sales since 2004.