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firebush03 said:

Coming back to this: Kirby is performing very well in JP, but is completely bombing across EU. MP4:Beyond seems to have a lot of internet buzz, but an 81MC is going to really hurt sales. Age of Imprisonment is… well… it is Zelda. So, it could be doing very well. Hard to say.

Any one of these games could win. I genuinely have no idea which will pull ahead. Maybe Kirby? I struggle to see the Metroid pulling more than its core base at this point.

I doubt reviews will have a significant effect on sales; very few people will actually decide not to buy a game just cos it scored an 80s rather than a 90s on Metacritic, internet enthusiasts greatly overestimate the importance of review scores, especially when they're not even that bad.

The bigger challenge for Metroid is that the franchise just isn't that mainstream, with even the highest selling entry only selling around 3m.