I think Switch 2 will have a much better start than Switch 1 first few years cause Nintendo is going into Switch 2 with way more momentum from the prior generation compared to Switch 1 coming straight off the disaster of the Wii U, but I think the Switch 1 will eventually do better in the later years since the people interested in Switch 2 are more likely to buy it at launch since they are more familiar with Switch 2 initially than they were about Switch 1.
And overall I still think Switch 1 will sell more due to Switch 2's higher price in this economy making it less likely for people to buy multiple for one household, and the lack of covid boost may also effect the Switch 2, doesnt have the advantage of millions having a ton of free time with nothing but video games to play and buy like the Switch 1 had.
However, it doesnt at all need to outsell Switch 1 to be a success, its already extremely difficult to top 155M+. It should still easily surpasses 100M, still expecting around 130M for Switch 2.
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