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firebush03 said:

For reference, this launch places Z-A as the second largest of Pokémon on Switch… meaning that, yes, Z-A outperformed a mainline entry (SwSh) which launched in mid-November. Unless you had unreasonable expectations, this should’ve been a much larger launch than expected. And with an entire holiday season in Z-A’s favor, it’ll most certainly smash through Arceus’s 14mil figure.

Sword and Shield was released in 2019, with less than half of Switch current userbase. My expectations was this was going to outsell Arceus for at least 10 to 15% units, not unreasonably at all