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Otter said:

https://x.com/Chris_Dring/status/1979992388580913472

Thank God people have eyes. 41% lower than Archeus in physical in the UK. S2 is 51% of launch sales.

It just doesn't look as appealing. Its still likely to benefit as the main "holiday" title so it may have better legs in that market.

Very good news. Curious to see how it will perform in Japan. They are significantly more conservative with the games they like. Arceus did less than 30% of the debut of Scarlet and Violet 

I'm expecting less than 600k units for Switch 2 version (Let's Go did 660k with a bigger install base). Most of its sales will come from Switch 1 version. I'll guess slightly above 1.1 million for Switch 1 and above 500k for Switch 2 for a combined total of 1.6 to 1.7 million