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I think we also had a lot of cross-gen titles on PS5 during the transition from PS4. The mix between cross-gen titles and Switch 2 exclusives should be fine. The new console has an exclusive Mario Kart, which is even a bigger franchise nowadays than a 3D-Mario game. On paper everything's fine.

Though, I have to admit, that beside Mario Kart World there are currently not many Switch 2 exclusives available nor announced, that let you think that you have to upgrade coming from Switch 1. If Metroid Prime 4 or Pokémon Z-A would have been Switch 2 exclusive, there would be no reason to worry. Currently Switch 2 is only for enthusiasts or people who don't own a Switch 1.

I wonder why they haven't revealed the big new IP, for which we already had two playtests within the last 12 months. Drag X Drive was pretty underwhelming for a new IP.