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Around 130m seems like a good bet. I fully expect a drop off from the Switch 1 but not a huge one so assuming an 8 year life before replacement beating the GB to become the 4th best selling console ever shouldn't be difficult. The main question currently is how it'll sell after demand is fully fulfilled and how much its insane first year is just people buying sooner than usual knowing it won't get a price cut and to avoid a price increase down the line.