| XtremeBG said: I don't know why people think that just because Nintendo will most likely continue to sell Switch 1, it will get over 160M. Even if the Switch is on the market in 2028, 2029 and 2030, this does not guarantee in any way reaching 160M. It really depends on how much it sells for those 3 years (if there will actually be 3 or less). Cuz if it's at 157 or 158M by end of 2026, and it does 5k per week for another 3 years, it won't reach it. So simply remaining on sale does not guarantee anything, it just gives it a higher chance in case it's super close, like 159M, cuz 3 years with sales of 5k or even 10k can do only that, 750k to 1.5M at best. Switch is already reaching 60k per week mind you, and that is in the middle of 2025, before the real drops of Switch 2 release and availability on the market takes full effect. Once that happens it may settle to 20-30k per week. And again that is 2025. So by the years I mentioned above, even 10k maybe too optimistic, it really depends on how much it will drop it's baseline until the holidays, then in 2026, and then in 2027 and beyond (again in that example scenario of Nintendo not discontinuing it after 2026 is done). Here are some examples of consoles sales in their last years on the market before death:
|
How interesting that you don't mention the PS2 in these examples, and only with date ranges that fit your narrative. Why are you using 2022 as the starting point for PS4 when PS5 was released in 2020? The same applies to the 3DS; "last" years should start in 2017, not 2020. At least do a fair comparison, because by that logic, the final years of Switch 1 will begin in 2028, not now.
Last edited by eleazar0425 - on 02 August 2025
