With less than a million shipped the last quarter and price increases happening in the Canada and US with the possibility of the same happening in other regions I'm starting to get close to calling this. It's not outright over yet but I'd say the odds of the Switch reaching 160m are definitely in the single digits at this point. Q2 will probably be lower than Q1 considering the Switch 2 is now out and these price increases so Q3 would need to be surprisingly strong and a new model would both need to happen for there to still be a real shot I think but Nintendo isn't showing much interest in continuing to push Switch 1 sales so far. Either way it's possible the door will get fully shut on this as soon as February if Q3 isn't good enough.
Perhaps the Switch 2 gets a price increase soon to make the Switch 1 look more appealing but while I do think a price increase for that is likely by the time it happens the Switch 1 will probably be dead or just about so it won't impact things. The Switch didn't decline in the US in June like it did in Japan and Europe for whatever reason but safe to say if that didn't happen in July then it'll happen this month. Also it's funny that as recently as the past few months there still have been posts bringing up potential price cuts as a way to boost sales considering what the current market conditions are like. That suggestion already didn't make much sense back in 2023 but in 2025 it's just silly.
Last edited by Norion - on 02 August 2025
