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Don't think people understand that if the Wii sells even 80 million, it probably definitely gets GTA3, MGS2, and a lot of those PS2 games.

3rd parties would not be able to ignore a hardware platform that effectively had better graphics capablity than the PS2 plus a massive userbase and would weasel out of exclusivity contracts and/or not even bother signing them with Sony unless Sony was literally going to reimburse them for millions of copies of lost sales.

Even things like Final Fantasy 12 go the Wii quite possibly. Effectively I think the situation would be virtually all 3rd party games are basically multi-plat and generally look a bit better on the Wii as well. 

I don't think the PS2 hits 140 million either.

I think it would be more like

PS2 - 100 million (about the same as PS1)
Wii - 85 million
XBox - 22 million

Sony's ability to get 3rd party exclusives was largely predicated on having no clear 2nd competitor in the market, if the Wii was even 50% of PS2 sales, a lot of 3rd parties would not be able to ignore a platform that large and the potential loss of sales revenue by not having a version of their top games there as well. 

No GTA San Andreas, MGS2/3, Devil May Cry, Kingdom Hearts as exclusive = no 150 mill for PS2. 

Last edited by Soundwave - on 29 July 2025