| Norion said: Of course its biggest issue is its price. The PS5 was 50k yen for the disc version and 40k for the digital one when it launched and now it's 80k and 73k respectively. Was it collapsing in sales last year right as the 13k increase happened somehow just a complete coincidence? Come on now. What is implausible is thinking the PS5 can't sell 800k across all of 2026 and 2027. Sony isn't gonna let the console completely die in its home country. If sales get dire enough they'll have to at least partially revert that price increase or do more discounts. This reminds me of how back in 2021-2022 some people were posting absurdly low lifetime predictions that it's already surpassed. Then other people got quite optimistic after its sales exploded in 2023 and now it's back to pessimism again. Just cause it's doing badly right now doesn't mean it's guaranteed to keep getting a lot worse and fall off a cliff. Things being more stable going forward is entirely possible. |
That's not what you said at all. I'm the one who said 8m by 2028 (as in, 800k for 2026/2027). You said, "I expect it to be quite close to 8m by the end of next year so it'll be getting there by early 2027". Big difference.
Of course it's guaranteed to get worse. Do you seriously believe that the PS5's yearly sales drops are somehow going to soften in Japan now that Switch 2 is out? The system will be lucky to be able to achieve 500k in 2026 and it probably won't. Expecting it to "average a bit over 500k the next three years" is just crazy talk.
