DroidKnight said:
2.5 years is 130 weeks. Giving it a generous 10,000 average sales per week is 1.3 million units during that time period. Giving it a chance at a possible 8.2 million lifetime. At this stage there is no way it can achieve anything close to 9 million. The final year of that 2.5 year time period will be nearly dead, thus effecting that very generous 10,000 weekly average. |
This ignores that the PS5 obviously isn't gonna stop selling the day the PS6 comes out. The PS4 has sold an extra 250k since the launch of the PS5 and 2028 is still a possible launch year for the PS6 but even if I assume 2027 with holiday sales, occasional discounts and DQ 12 8m isn't up in the air with how much time is left till the platform gets replaced and discontinued. DQ 12 could still be a while away but it will still sell some PS5's even if it'll probably boost the Switch 2 a lot more.
archbrix said:
Way, way more likely? I'd give the PS5 maybe a 70/30% chance of crossing the 8m mark. Zero percent chance of it reaching 9m at this point. |
Yes cause 8m is basically guaranteed unless the PS6 launches next year out of nowhere and 9m is still a very real possibility depending on it's launch year. If it doesn't come out till late 2028 the PS5 will crawl to 9m eventually.
