It's an oversimplification.
Based on its insane launch and that it will have Pokémon, Switch 2 is sure to crack 100 million lifetime, and could hit 120 million or more.
PS5 is doing extremely well, though Sony could screw things up with PS6. It's probable PS6 will be $700 (like PS5 Pro), and it's not crazy to predict it could be $800. The price alone is unlikely to put Sony in a PS3 situation again, but software could. PS4 has had a ton of software support post-replacement, and PS5 is pretty much implied to have even more cross-gen support as PS6 arrives. If people can play the games they want to play on PC and PS5, why get a PS6?
Xbox Series is whimpering, with low sales and stock in most countries in the world right now and the last year or so. Xbox is still on track to launch another console (their fifth) in 2026-2027 it seems. Microsoft has a lot of money to spend; this isn't a Sega situation right now.
Lifetime Sales Predictions
Switch: 161 million (was 73 million, then 96 million, then 113 million, then 125 million, then 144 million, then 151 million, then 156 million)
PS5: 122 million (was 105 million, then 115 million) Xbox Series X/S: 38 million (was 60 million, then 67 million, then 57 million. then 48 million. then 40 million)
Switch 2: 120 million (was 116 million)
PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)
3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)
"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima
