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Politics - US Politics |OT| - View Post

firebush03 said:
Bofferbrauer2 said:

Can't wait for the midterms to see how this pans out.

Lol “Most Accurate Pollster.” How many more times are we gonna give credence to this label? Have we completely forgotten 538 perfectly calling every state in 2012, Trafalgar predicting the midwest during 2016, Allan Lichtman predicting every election since 1980, etc., just to completely fumbled their subsequent elections?

That's the thing, this pollster was the most correct one in 2016, 2020 and 2024 in terms of popular vote split, so how many percentage in favor of one candidate over the other, so this gives it some credence. Like he also explained and showed in the video, they correctly not only said that Trump would win in 2024, but also with a 2.5% margin in his favor for the popular vote when most pollsters were either split or thinking the democrats would win the popular vote.

Of course, we're very far from the next election, but this already shows how Trump has pushed independents aside and back into the democrats hands.