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With them missing 11m and this low forecast I now think it's quite unlikely they beat the PS2. The possibility is not dead yet but they'd have to not just match but outright exceed the 4.5m forecast to still have any shot and Switch sales are already declining fast before the Switch 2 is even out. There's also that this forecast has two months pre-Switch 2 in it so the drop next fiscal year being even higher wouldn't be surprising at all.
It'll still be quite close in the end though and I've been expecting it to be close for quite some time. In the end the post successor decline will be a lot closer to the DS than the 3DS which is expected since the Switch is getting a direct successor that is backwards compatible like the DS did. Also this'll put an end to those silly predictions of it somehow reaching 170m or the later 160s.
Ashadelo said:
Prolly afraid, everytime someone bets against the switch the switch always outshines their lowballs. |
That's not true. The people who expected the Switch to fall significantly short of the 13.5m forecast were right.
Last edited by Norion - on 09 May 2025
