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If the 4.5 Million Forecast seems true, I find it hard to see Switch 2 outsell PS2, it'll be at around 156.6M by March 2026, and at that point the Switch 2 will be out for a year, Switch 1 games will slow, it'll be difficult to muster up even another 3.5 Million after March 2026 even in a few years to reach 160M.
If the 4.5M prediction stands, I see Switch ending around 158M, just barely below PS2.

1.26M quarter was also definitely lower than I expected even this late in the game, I expected moreso around 1.5M or slightly above, and it's likely only get lower from here as we'll start seeing sub 1 Million quarters soon.

Also, this could be speculation but it doesn't seem like Nintendo is really pushing for the Switch 1 to be another alternative to Switch 2 like they've done with other consoles like the 3DS or GBA, while yes Nintendo is still releasing 1st party games for Switch 1 even after Switch 2, it doesn't seem like Nintendo is advertising like "Switch 1 will coexist with Switch 2" as much as I thought. It seems like this time around Nintendo wants more people to just focus on Switch 2.

By the way it's looking, I think it's less likely Switch outsells PS2.

Last edited by javi741 - on 08 May 2025