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Norion on 01 May 2025
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curl-6 said:
Norion said:

Could be a lot worse, there were at least a handful of people still expecting it to do 3DS numbers as late as 2019 lol.

True, funny as it may look now it's far from the most egregious miss; I remember a lot of predictions in 2017 that it would sell on par or even worse than Wii U.

Hell, I myself expected it to sell poorly after the January 2017 show; during the Wii U era the vibes were just rancid and it felt like Nintendo just couldn't get anything right.

There's a famous thread on neogaf about predicting how much Switch would sell, and 90% of posts are like "lol it's DOA."

I don't fully remember what my expectations were for it pre-launch but by the end of April I was expecting a big success if Nintendo didn't screw up and thought it could outsell the Wii U in just its first year. Though I also thought it would start to truly fly off the shelves big time after 1-2 price cuts and a cheap revision at half the price of the launch model but amazingly it's gotten to 150m with basically no price cuts.