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To address the argument that "Some people will be content with Switch 1 and may not feel as amazed to upgrade to Switch 2" being the reason why Switch 2 will sell worse, you also need to look at the other side of things as well. Past 8 years we've seen plenty of new kids born into this world who weren't born or too young to get onto Switch 1, so even if we see some Switch 1 users not return for Switch 2, the new generation of kids getting their first Gane console will make up for it, this has happened in some way with every direct successor in the console space. Nintendo has also expanded quite a bit to the "other" regions that weren't as into Nintendo when Switch 1 first came out in 2017 and will continue to expand as stuff like Nintendo movies release and Nintendo continues to market to those other regions like they've been doing the past several years. Switch 2 could also be looked at more as a 3rd party system as it's 3rd party support is looking much better than Switch 1, which could appeal to even more people.

This why I'm doubting Switch 2 will sell under 130 Million like many are saying, it's the sequel to the bestselling console ever, just like with the PS2, who wouldn't wanna buy it, it's a console everybody loves but better