| The_Liquid_Laser said: No way. I'm expecting a situation like the DS -> 3DS transition. They'll come up with some solution to salvage the system next year once they realize how badly they've screwed up. Switch 2 will still sell well in Japan, but it won't come close to Switch 1 sales in any other region. The screwed up launch year will do permanent damage to hardware sales, much like it did with the 3DS. |
What did they screw up? What does Switch 2 even have in common with the 3DS? The only thing that can be argued is price, but price is directly tied to perceived value and the Switch concept is a proven value that this time around launches with much better third party support than its predecessor. But other than that?
Selling point of the hardware: Hybrid console vs. stereoscopic 3D which failed and in turn made the price tag unjustifiable. Tremendous advantage for Switch 2.
Launch window first party software: Sequel to megaseller Mario Kart 8 and a new 3D platformer starring Donkey Kong developed by EAD Tokyo vs. Nintendogs+Cats and Pilotwings Resort. Ndogs+Cats may have been a sequel to a megaseller, but it had no defining characters and game universe that protected it from copycats, unlike Mario Kart. Another tremendous advantage for Switch 2.
First year first party software: The 3DS ultimately managed to somewhat match the launch window lineup of Switch 2 through ten months, but Super Mario 3D Land and Mario Kart 7 were handheld games while Switch 2 games aren't; they are much grander in scope. Too bad for the 3DS that Switch 2 is getting many more noteworthy games in its seven month stretch, including a new Pokémon game and the highly anticipated Metroid Prime 4. Another landslide victory for Switch 2.
First year third party software: Let's make this short, the 3DS had almost nothing worth mentioning, so Switch 2's low effort ports already give it the edge here.
Additional offerings: The NSO library for classic video game consoles is so far ahead of anything the 3DS had in addition to its regular games, so there's no shortage of games to play on Switch 2.
It's as if people have forgotten how botched the 3DS launch was due to the system being rushed to the market without an adequate software pipeline to back it up.
Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV will outsell Super Smash Bros. Brawl. I was wrong.
