Which System Will Ship More Units in Calendar Year 2025 Worldwide: Switch 2 or PS5?

[Jumpin]

Zippy6 said:

Wyrdness said:

Switch 2 only has around 7 months this year compared to the full 12 PS5 will have, the former can outsell the latter and still not sell more overall units in the year as a result even if it sold as wildly as the Switch which did like 16m in 2017 but launched in March.

Yes if Switch 2 were to accomplish this it'd basically be doubling the previous record for fastest selling console of all time.

Sell-Through first 7 months (VGChartz):

Console	First 7 Month Sell-through
PS5	8.96m
PS4	8.16m
Wii	7.77m
Switch	6.33m
Xbox Series	4.98m
Xbox One	4.40m
3DS	4.25m
WiiU	2.97m

Worth noting that Switch and 3DS here don't include a holiday season because of the time they launched, if we extend for holiday season:

Switch first 10 months: 13.12m
3DS first 11 months: 12.55m

I fully expect Switch 2 can sell over the 8.96m of the PS5, especially with it having a separate launch and holiday sales boost in it's first 7 months and nd Nintendo seems to have been building up stock for quite some time, but the roughly 18m in sales it would probably need to outsell ps5 for the full calendar year is unthinkable.

It took the Switch 16 months to reach 18m sales (sell-through), Switch 2 isn't doing that in less than half the time.

That's a great point to bring up. If Switch 2 does win, it would be an unprecedented sales record... or PS5 had a very unexpected sudden decline.

Evidence does not point to Nintendo Switch pulling it off this year, not without some sort of a paradigm shift in production and adoption time. And I don't think there's been any indication that's happening.

It's worth noting that Sony routinely over-estimates PS5 projections. Last year PS5 fell 4.8 million units below projections. But even if (probably more than worst case scenario) they were off by such a high number, they would still sell considerably more than any console has done in 7 months.