| XtremeBG said: The shipments are getting less and less every quarter now, because the difference between sold units and shipments will shrink with each quarter. Therefore the shipped numbers should be less than the actually sold ones going ahead, because till the end of 2024, there were more than 2M shipped units than the sold ones. March will be probably the last month Switch will sell close to or around 500k units only because it's 5 weeks. Otherwise it would probably go around 400k. So with ~500k for March we get to 150.2M sold by end of March 2025 (it was 149.7M with February). And since the difference is shrinking between shipped and sold, this time the difference won't be 2M or more. So 152.5M as @Norion said is not likely. It will be at 152M shipped at best. Yes, that means 1.14M shipped for the quarter. Reasonable drop from 1.96M the same quarter last year, for a system entering it's 9th year, and successor announced. With 152M shipped, the difference between shipped and sold becomes around 1.8M from little over 2M before. It will of course continue to shrink over the next quarters as well. So to summarize, yes that means around 1.5M sold units for the quarter, and at the same time close to 1.2M shipped. This trend I expect to continue over the next few quarters. |
I think it'll be about 1.5m shipped to hit the forecast but yeah the difference will begin shrinking soon. There's thankfully not much to go till Nintendo's forecast for this fiscal year is revealed since it'll be the most interesting one in quite a while.







