NSW2 Lifetime Sales

[Norion]

LordGustang said:

I very much think it's gonna outsell the Switch, which might still climb to 170m if nintendo cut's the price and make nintendo selects.
The "predictions" here are almost on par with the nonsense from the period of the switch reveal.

Nintendo is delivering capable hardware, cheaper than it's main competitor, that is both portable and home console, will run all the 3rd partie titles that are on ps5 while looking basically the same AND has the best 1st party library by a landslide. Guess which console the mass market will prefer?

Early, mid and late adopters of the switch will be early, mid and late adopters of the Switch 2. There will also be many who didn't get a switch who will now get a Switch 2 instead of a ps5 or xsx/xss and never look back.

I'm also going to adress something that's been bothering me. Many beings in this forum keep saying that Switch 2 has no chance to outsell the switch because of covid. I can't stress enough how extremely dumb and ignorant that is. For starters, covid didn't make people who weren't gonna buy a console suddenly get it. It made people who already wanted a console getbit sooner. No different than the 3ds price cut.

Furthermore, we need to analyze a scenario without covid for the switch. In that case, it likely would get a price cut to $249 in 2020, so oled eould later release for $299 and many games delayed due to covid would have released sooner. And while I don't think that price cut would be enough for switch to sell as well as during covid in 2020 and 2021, post covid years of 2022 to now would have sold higher than it did due to lower price. So current switch sales would be the same or even higher if covid never happened. Saying NS2 won't beat the NS because there won't be a covid is a big nothing sandwich.

Of course it did that. So many people who were used to spending tons of time and money outdoors were now no longer allowed to do that for a while so there was a huge shift towards entertainment that can be consumed at home which will naturally have included people buying a console who wouldn't have otherwise. Even a small portion of people who previously only played games on a phone or people who hadn't used a console since the DS and Wii days deciding to get a Switch cause of that shift makes a significant difference and the PS4 and Xbox One would've obviously sold more thanks to covid if Sony and Microsoft kept producing stock for them so the notion that the many millions who bought a Switch in 2020-2022 due to the pandemic were all already intending to get one is utterly absurd.

Covid and the lockdowns causing a big boost in spending on video games is a well documented fact so the only debate to be had with this is just how big of a boost the Switch got from that. It getting a price cut and less games being delayed would not have made up for that since the Switch's declines each year since 2020 haven't been that big so if it sold like 22m in 2020 instead 2021 to now still would've been lower even with a more gradual decline. Also saying that's extremely dumb and ignorant is funny when earlier you say the Switch has a chance of reaching 170m. Its sales pace so far this year makes it abundantly clear that even with a price cut it doesn't have another 20m left in the tank.

Last edited by Norion - on 13 April 2025