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Seems in line with general estimates I've seen. The SD has been a nice starting point and the SD 2 has growth potential if Valve handles it right. Over 10 million for that would be a nice result and should be doable I think since with it probably comparing decently well to a PS5 and Series X should be powerful enough to run basically everything from this decade and most games in the first half of next decade so it'll age significantly better. The other options have a lot of catching up to do in terms of relevance though.