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Xxain said:
Here. We have four lightning in a bottle consoles: PS2 DS Wii (Though potential faltered. It started off as such) and Switch. They all have something in common; A gimmick or novelty that attracted those beyond the gamer crowd. Those 160mill PS2 sales include millions of people who bought because "console that plays my DVDs!?". Here is the thing about these type of consoles; They never work twice. A perfect example is DS -> to 3DS. A large drop off in max sales because all of those gimmick/novelty buyers didn't return for the 3DS because it wasn't a gimmick/novelty anymore. I think Switch 2 will experience the DS - 3DS sales drop. It is not doing 140+mill again dude. Its has no lightning in bottle buff. |
Switch didn't sell 150+ million because it had a "novel gimmick", it sold that much because the hybrid form factor made gaming accessible, convenient and appealing to a huge audience, and Switch 2 has that same form factor.
The successors to the consoles you list didn't fall short because their success couldn't possibly be followed up on, but due to their own specific failings and circumstances, from PS3 being overpriced and falling behind in games early in the 7th gen, to 3DS having to compete with the rise of phone/tablet gaming, to Wii U making basically every mistake imaginable.
As of yet, there's no reason for Switch 2 to sell far less than Switch 1. They haven't made any massive mistakes, nor has the market changed substantially.
