As PAOerfulone said it really could come down to the wire. At this point what month the Switch 2 launches matters more than anything else since there's a significant difference between May or something like September. If it's the former it'd be fairly up in the air for the Switch since with a bit under 12m to go assuming no major adjustments soon it'd have to sell at a minimum 7m this year to have a good shot at reaching 160.6m. That is likely since with the extra months and the Lite being a cheap option it shouldn't decline as much this year as the DS did in 2011 but just how large of an immediate impact the Switch 2 will have will determine a lot.