Will Switch 2 outsell the Nintendo King?

[Shtinamin_]

Shadow1980 said:

Not as much as the original. The Switch got to over 150M in large part for reasons that were once extremely controversial to bring up in certain places *ahem* but are largely accepted today (and we won't be discussing them today *taps sign*). Those conditions likely and hopefully won't exist in the next few years. So, assuming a reasonable price (say, $400), then I think the Switch 2 will probably sell somewhere in the 120-140M range.

Then again we could have unforeseen events happen in the console market that could push more people towards Switch 2, like MS and/or Sony just dropping support for physical media altogether, in which case the Switch 2 has a very real chance of actually becoming the new #1 console ever as people who still like owning their games migrate over to a system that, while maybe not as sophisticated as the PS6 & Xbox 5 will likely be, will be plenty advanced and still support physical games. I know if Sony & MS both abandon physical next generation, their current systems will be the last I'll ever own. Nintendo at least seems like they'll be supporting physical games for a very long time, so they'll continue getting my support.

This is all assuming nothing bad happens in the world because of bad policies from bad politicians, such as America's newly-returned Dumbass-in-Chief getting his trade war or him getting the quack anti-vaxxer he wants for Health Secretary confirmed, in which case all bets are off, because there's no telling what kind of effects that could all have.

I do think that without the pandemic and free time, it could provide itself to be massive wall to prevent Switch 2 reaching the sales numbers of the Switch.

I agree that without Xbox, the market becomes way easier for Nintendo (and Sony) to dominate. And I did see another post that spoke of the 1990’s era of gaming. Sounds like gaming is at a crossroads and it’ll be a very interesting next decade.

I am happy that Nintendo will still produce physical games as well, I enjoy looking at my collection and the process to insert and remove cartridges brings some simple nostalgia.

And I do agree that things could get interesting on the political end given the tariffs and the make-it-at-home ideology he proposes. 

I do still think that Nintendo has at least started off on the right foot marketing wise, with the name. It’s simple and not confusing unlike WiiU. They also understand that their consumers desire a new iteration of the beloved franchises and seem to start of fantastic with a new Mario Kart (though I do wish this game was the Christmas release game with a 3D Mario as the console release game). And Nintendo understands that they need to boost the power, efficiency and abilities of their consoles in order to keep up with technology and ensure 3rd parties join their ranks. 24-player Mario Kart is not an easy task (at least for Nintendo) but somehow we will have it.