Will Switch 2 outsell the Nintendo King?

[Wman1996]

S.Peelman said:

Complete shot in the dark. Well, almost. It’s hard to imagine it selling even better than Switch, so I’ll also pick 120-130M. Which would be a great result.

Whether a success or not, it's far from a given that a successor will outsell its immediate predecessor.

PS3 sold less than PS2, PS Vita sold less than PSP.

Sega Saturn sold less than Mega Drive/Genesis, and Dreamcast sold a little less than Saturn, but it is really close.

Xbox One sold less than Xbox 360, and there's little chance now Xbox Series will outsell Xbox One. 

Atari Jaguar sold a lot less than Atari 7800, after Atari skipped the fourth generation of consoles.

Nintendo has downward trends for three home consoles in a row, and even after the fluke Wii, Wii U sold less. But Switch is a hybrid and another fluke. But then there's stuff like 3DS selling less than DS.

Suffice to say, tons of hardware sells less than its immediate predecessor. 

Switch 2 will be a refinement of Switch, not as fresh of an idea unless there's some crazy gimmick or feature, they're saving for the Direct. Even if there's a great feature like using two screens (casting to the TV and using a second screen on the tablet), that seems like a refinement of the concepts of Wii U and Switch rather than some industry disruption or huge innovation.