Seems like 37m is likely in the bag, with an upper limit at 38m.
It might be at 36m when Switch 2 launches (assuming a late Spring launch). But after that the Lite is probably pretty much the only thing that should be selling due to cost similarities between $300/$350 Switch and presumably $400 Switch 2. So sales will plummet. But it can probably still sell 1-2 million after that. Japan will likely be the dominant region for sales once the next gen system launches, as Japan has already been the only region that hasn't seems sales slump massively over the past two years (outside of that mid-2023 TotK-fueled respite). Still even in Japan its hard to imagine sales being much at all once a similarly priced and vastly more powerful system with backwards compatibility comes out priced barely above Switch's OLED model.
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