| Slownenberg said: If Switch is at 35.0m sold right now, as according to vgchartz, and with successor likely coming out in 4-5 months, it might hit 36m by the mid-year point (shortly after Switch 2 has launched) by averaging 40k/week as sales drop in anticipation of next gen starting. But then because of price similarities between Switch and Switch 2, the only model of Switch that should be selling at all after that will be the Lite, and it likely won't sell much. So let's say 36.5m by end of year. And then falling off from there over the next couple of years. I'd say it could get up to 37.5-38.0m. |
I just posted this in Tbone's prediction thread:
Tbone's prediction is aging like fine wine. We're only -0.75mil behind his timeline and it's looking like Switch will blow past 1.2mil for 2025. We may approach 40mil TRACKED by Famitsu!
| Year | Tbone's predictions | YTD | Actuals | YTD | Difference |
| 2017-2020 | 17.34mil | 17.34mil | 17.34mil | n/a | |
| 2021 | 6.20mil | 23.54mil | 5.58mil | 22.92mil | -0.62mil |
| 2022 | 5.20mil | 28.74mil | 4.81mil | 27.72mil | -1.02mil |
| 2023 | 3.70mil | 32.44mil | 4.06mil | 31.79mil | -0.65mil |
| 2024 | 3.20mil | 35.64mil | ~3.10mil | 34.89mil | -0.75mil |
| 2025 | 1.20mil | 36.84 | |||
| 2026+ | 500k+ | 37.34 |
Playing Xenoblade 2 before I buy Xenoblade 3 (otherwise I couldn't wait to play 3).
Can they announce a new Fire Emblem? A remake of Genealogy or Tellius would suffice !
