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If Switch is at 35.0m sold right now, as according to vgchartz, and with successor likely coming out in 4-5 months, it might hit 36m by the mid-year point (shortly after Switch 2 has launched) by averaging 40k/week as sales drop in anticipation of next gen starting. But then because of price similarities between Switch and Switch 2, the only model of Switch that should be selling at all after that will be the Lite, and it likely won't sell much. So let's say 36.5m by end of year. And then falling off from there over the next couple of years. I'd say it could get up to 37.5-38.0m.

40m is way beyond what's possible.